Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.222535 0.252972 0.285592 0.323097 0.364973 0.410236 0.462806
2025-11-02 0.184955 0.226285 0.273484 0.331181 0.399600 0.477924 0.574153
2025-11-09 0.153211 0.199929 0.256319 0.328976 0.419651 0.528578 0.668789
2025-11-16 0.129844 0.179560 0.242609 0.327720 0.438788 0.577894 0.764248
2025-11-23 0.111534 0.162663 0.230494 0.325985 0.455672 0.624200 0.858024
2025-11-30 0.099936 0.152919 0.226109 0.333069 0.483536 0.685479 0.974328
2025-12-07 0.088266 0.141386 0.217632 0.333044 0.500816 0.732815 1.074080
2025-12-14 0.078552 0.131382 0.209991 0.332939 0.517179 0.779039 1.174212
2025-12-21 0.070527 0.122891 0.203497 0.333497 0.533884 0.826014 1.277362
2025-12-28 0.064718 0.117163 0.200480 0.338709 0.557368 0.883595 1.398493
2026-01-04 0.060314 0.113186 0.199695 0.347049 0.585790 0.949636 1.535236
2026-01-11 0.055413 0.107762 0.195948 0.350092 0.605742 1.003493 1.655875
2026-01-18 0.051602 0.103993 0.194849 0.357776 0.634285 1.073288 1.806730
2026-01-25 0.048561 0.101272 0.195254 0.367938 0.667454 1.152131 1.975996
2026-02-01 0.044022 0.095195 0.189144 0.366226 0.680420 1.199006 2.096405
2026-02-08 0.040095 0.089827 0.183761 0.365232 0.694315 1.247848 2.222172
2026-02-15 0.036509 0.084700 0.178299 0.363533 0.706636 1.294418 2.346153
2026-02-22 0.034442 0.082460 0.178093 0.371465 0.736459 1.371962 2.525675
2026-03-01 0.031684 0.078410 0.173946 0.371502 0.751756 1.425006 2.665615
2026-03-08 0.029185 0.074622 0.169946 0.371423 0.766662 1.477878 2.807437
2026-03-15 0.026994 0.071258 0.166481 0.372058 0.782805 1.533531 2.956434
2026-03-22 0.025457 0.069230 0.165614 0.377818 0.809019 1.608464 3.142925
2026-03-29 0.024326 0.068037 0.166416 0.387024 0.842409 1.697973 3.359443